Poll: The EU Referendum: What Will You Vote? (New Poll)

Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?


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No, I don't. If brits were being pushed out of jobs we'd see an increase in unemployment. We don't. What's actually happening is that the extra growth in our economy is helping employ more people. This is not a zero sum game.



Try arguing with positions people actually put forward instead of making up your own silly interpretation.

Who are wages rising for?
 
Who are wages rising for?

Let's have a look. This is summary page of all relevant releases on the topic from the ONS:
http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/taxonomy/...Video&sortDirection=DESCENDING&sortBy=pubdate

The latest headline figures and publications are to be found here, however:
http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/taxonomy/index.html?nscl=Labour+Market

We're beasting, considering what we've gone through after 2008, way above inflation at 2.0% wage growth, which is at present -- http://ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/cpi/consumer-price-indices/january-2016/sum-cpi-jan-2016.html -- a soul-crushing 0.3%.

The worst off aren't really getting worse off in terms of money they can earn nor is there solid ground to claim that current migration levels are suppressing their wages beyond a statistical rounding error; but looking at the government's policy course, yes, they will feel the squeeze in in-work benefits, and food bank reliance may yet increase. Osborne bets on his living wage bringing this up to par again. Will it be effective? We shall see.

The picture is tougher for people out of work for long periods of time and with low skills but, as we've already discussed, the unemployment is falling and approaching full employment levels whilst job creation continues at a healthy clip, 58% of which goes to the natives.

The productivity puzzle remains, however it can't be laid at EU's doors. Everyone's baffled by it. And yet I sincerely doubt the picture outside the EU will be as cautiously optimistic as it is right now.
 
And people on the minimum wager?

They do about as well as the minimum wage allows them to. Considering the jump from the minimum wage to Osborne's living wage, at its introduction, would mean an effective pay increase of 1.1%. Don't forget also that it'll go up to £9 an hour by 2020, and with the historically low inflation that'll go further. Plus the tax threshold, before you have to start paying any, is now higher than ever before.

Youngsters on minimum wage had always had a raw deal. The EU doesn't set the rates for them, though.
 
They do about as well as the minimum wage allows them to. Considering the jump from the minimum wage to Osborne's living wage, at its introduction, would mean an effective pay increase of 1.1%. Don't forget also that it'll go up to £9 an hour by 2020, and with the historically low inflation that'll go further. Plus the tax threshold, before you have to start paying any, is now higher than ever before.

Youngsters on minimum wage had always had a raw deal. The EU doesn't set the rates for them, though.

Not if you are under 25.
 
The thing is... what's the level of wage growth everyone will be happy with? You won't get a unanimous answer. But the facts are clear -- economic migrants aren't bringing the system down and making everyone destitute.

I agree it is not their fault and they should not be blamed, but a combination of an almost limitless supply of cheap labour and a minimum wage certainly isn't good for people.
 
Polly Toynbee is excoriating form with her piece on Cameron's ineptitude in Europe today.

I am torn between hoping Cameron gets nothing out of his renegotiations because his petulant incompetence deserves it and because so much of what he's asking for will make Europe worse and the knowledge that we probably need him to get something out if we're to stay in the EU. Yuck.
 
Two more polls out. ICM is back to showing a small Remain lead (43%-39%) while MORI's phone poll continues to show a strong Remain lead (54%-36%).

It's all pretty irrelevant because even if we voted Out at the first referendum by the time the second one comes round after a few titbits it will be an In vote.

One thing is very certain when the eventual In vote happens there are going to be at least half the country very upset and it's already been predicted we're going to see some hellish civil disobedience similar to Greece.
 
From the Europe says No website.

The EU has proven time and again that it cannot take no for an answer. When Ireland voted No to the Nice Treaty in 2001, the only country to hold a referendum, it was asked to vote again. The same thing happened when Denmark rejected the Maastricht Treaty in 1992. Referendums that return ‘yes’ votes are never re-run.

When French and Dutch voters said no to the original version of the Lisbon Treaty in 2005, they were also ignored. EU leaders simply repackaged it and changed the name, and then pushed the Treaty through Parliament.
 
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