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I can see HBM being the reason it might not make Q1 2016 but hopefully HBM or I should say HBM2 will be in plentiful supply in a few months and that doesn't hold up production. Seeing the massive stutter delay of stock on Fiji has me slightly concerned.
By the time fury x is easily available and prices drop, time travel will be out
Orangey, 1080 non ti will eat 980ti alive. That is given. We have jump from 28nm to finfet 16nm plus hbm2 power savings. We might see another HD5870 jump from both manufacturers. If it was 28 to 20 nm then yeah I see 1080 being on par with titan x or 980ti or small jump.
The question is will nvidia create a miracle in putting all the new tech pieces together and making them work straight away
If you took GM200 and did a direct shrink to 16nm FF+ (unfortunately don't think you can do a direct optical shrink) you'd get a ~45% performance increase straight up - assuming the issues with leakage are fixed and depending a little on final clock speeds and that is without doing anything to take advantage of any other advantages of the process. There are some unknowns though with Pascal in respect that there will be more compute considerations than Maxwell, there isn't much information on architecture changes that might have performance implications, yields and so on that could impact on clock speeds, etc.
Orangey, 1080 non ti will eat 980ti alive. That is given. We have jump from 28nm to finfet 16nm plus hbm2 power savings. We might see another HD5870 jump from both manufacturers. If it was 28 to 20 nm then yeah I see 1080 being on par with titan x or 980ti or small jump.
The question is will nvidia create a miracle in putting all the new tech pieces together and making them work straight away
We're not skipping a node, the interconnect wiring is still 20nm. 16nm is limited by that.
http://semiengineering.com/will-7nm-and-5nm-really-happen-2/
Ignore Orangey, he is a rapid fanboy, just look at his post. It starts out with compelte rubbish about the 780ti to 980 jump being insignificiant. He is the kind of person who will then say that Nvidia purposely gimped 780 drivers as a emans of explaining the eprformance difference. For some reaons it is veyr hard for AMD fanboys to appreciate the performance and efficiency gains Nvidia achieved with Maxwell, while at the same tiem they will praise Fiji depsite the fact it is significantly less efficient than Maxwell despite usign HBM.
We're not skipping a node, the interconnect wiring is still 20nm. 16nm is limited by that.
http://semiengineering.com/will-7nm-and-5nm-really-happen-2/
It says a 2x density increase. You would expect more than that for a 2 node jump.
I think you're all setting yourselves up for a big disappointment.
I don't think ANY GPU released until say 2017 Q2 is going to be particularly impressive for high-end owners.