Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar
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Soldato
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That Ghost user appears to be pro-Russian.
Yes, i thought the same thing.
Yeah, I'm not sure why this Gypo guy is posting videos of Ukrainians being attacked - is he some Russian shill or just a bit slow?
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Osa capable of taking down these drones https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1582876752648736768 so other similar systems should be able to as well. Ukraine claiming to have shot down the vast majority of them but from the footage it isn't really clear how many were shot down or were aimed about where they end up exploding anyhow. Others are more clearly intercepted like a couple near power station stacks.
Russian mobilisation getting desperate
Russian mobilisation getting desperate
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ill add one to that.Osa capable of taking down these drones https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1582876752648736768 so other similar systems should be able to as well. Ukraine claiming to have shot down the vast majority of them but from the footage it isn't really clear how many were shot down or were aimed about where they end up exploding anyhow. Others are more clearly intercepted like a couple near power station stacks.
Russian mobilisation getting desperate
"That's My Boy:"
while looking down at him.
"
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Railroad tracks are really hard to hit and can be repaired very fast.
You'd need to identify places which are a bottleneck and not so quickly repairable such as bridges on mainlines in areas of marshland, etc. (even then an individual one would probably not be that prohibitive to temporarily bridge).
For example https://goo.gl/maps/xrG8v7b2PZeALKaJ8 though in that case you'd need to do enough damage they couldn't just slot a new cartridge section in.
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You hit a rail bridge or rail tunnel and wars are over before such things get repaired if ever.
Of course that's not such a great plan if you're thinking of having that railway working in the near future for yourself... so maybe sticking to short term disruption by blasting gaps in rails has more merit.
Of course that's not such a great plan if you're thinking of having that railway working in the near future for yourself... so maybe sticking to short term disruption by blasting gaps in rails has more merit.
The best option if you've got half decent intelligence is to hit the trains, as they're carrying ammo/stopped to unload it.
If you hit you are likely to damage the tracks over a large area (the "joy" of a good set of secondary explosions in the wagons), you take out a train, you take out a lot of supplies, and you kill both specialist (IE hard to replace) people, and a lot of lower end soldiers. The result is you've removed some of their long term capacity to move anything by rail anywhere by damaging/destroying the train and the freight wagons, you've damaged a large area of track, and left a huge mess to clean up before they can run trains along that area again, whilst at the same time not denying yourself key infrastructure for years.
Apparently the Russians look like they're running into issues maintaining the trains (not sure if it's been posted here), because their freight wagons use a specific type of bearing system (cassette?) that requires high precision ball bearings that the Russians cannot make and IIRC import from Sweden and Germany, and whilst they could potentially use less precise ones it would cause major issues and require a lot more maintenance (you'd be replacing them more often/potentially causing damage over time to other parts) or fairly long periods to rebuild the bogies to take the bearing systems they can make but don't handle the weights as well, and do it for something like 200k freight carriages over time between their military and civilian fleets (they're thought to be down about 10% of that right now due to lack of bearings and other precision parts).
So every train or wagon you can damage/destroy makes things much harder for them because it's reducing how many they've got to rotate through maintenance at a time when the likely amount of time they're needing to spend undergoing maintenance will be going up, and this sort of issue once it starts becomes increasingly hard to fix unless you start to drop certain routes/actively reducing the amount you are trying to send via rail.
This is something I think people were predicting back in March, the longer this goes on the harder it is for Russia to keep it up due to "little" things ("for want of a nail" and all that), and the more it affects their ability to run their own country, let alone maintain an offensive war, much the same way they're now using dozens of models of civilian vehicle to keep their troops supplied because their military ones tend to either not work in large enough numbers, or get destroyed, which means their logistics just to keep their supplies running on road is getting harder.
If you start destroying their trains/heavy freight wagons they start to get into real trouble, especially as the Russians their logistics relies extremely heavily on a functioning rail network (hence their specialist corp of engineers who can repair track/signals but not do much about a destroyed freight engine except move the scrap out of the way).
If/as the Ukrainians get more Himars and similar easy to operate, accurate long range weapons I expect this will be more common, as IIRC they're already hitting the ammo dumps that are often alongside the tracks (due to lack of mechanised loading/unloading gear to load it quickly onto trucks and move way from such obvious target areas), and if they can get the response time for accurate long range artlillery down enough, at the same time as their intelligence finds out where the trains are stopping it could make the life of a Russian military train specialist far from fun or cushy as the artillery people will know exactly where you can go and just need to get the timing right (and unlike a car, truck or tank, you can't quickly change the speed of a freight train to try and get a possible incoming round to hit ahead, or preferably behind you).
Basically longer term IF you can afford it and have the equipment/intelligence, it may be better to target the trains themselves rather than the tracks, as the effect is far bigger and longer term than hitting just the tracks, but doesn't hurt you long term like blowing up your own major infrastructure.
Sorry, long and rambling.
Soldato
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What could they possibly have to hide?
On the other hand Russia "reaffirms" its commitment to the Budapest Memorandum to not use or threaten the use of nuclear weapons against non-nuclear state......... historically when Russia is denying something unfortunately is when you need to be most concerned about them doing it :s so that isn't exactly reassuring.
On another note, hopefully not related, something about Kaliningrad seems to have NATO concerned the last couple of days.
Caporegime
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Yep, this is the way Russia operate, whatever they claim the other party is about to do, i.e. Ukraine is preparing a nuclear weapon, is exactly what the Russians are doing.
Re Kaliningrad. What are the potential implications of this you think?
Soldato
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I have no idea - there doesn't seem to be a lot of attention paid to it compared to other parts by OSINT, etc. last 24-48 hours NATO has flown just about every type of intelligence gathering aircraft we have around it along with tankers loitering for hours including close approaches. I'm guessing Russian forces on the move they want eyes on.
So trying to justify targetting and terrorising civilians to cause extended suffering as an act of self defence. Jeepers.
Lets be honest, when Britain and Germany were levelling cities in WW2 it didn't cause either country to throw in the towel. The mind boggles at the justification the Russian media is trying to spout.
Soldato
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Crossing a barge bridge in range of all the Ukrainian artillery? I think I’d rather swim for it.Latest Defence Intelligence update on Ukraine.
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