Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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Rroff said:
I find it strange how slowly the country is turning to full mobilisation - even with considerations for not changing things so fast there is a pushback from the population. Like with the mobilisation but leaving borders open so that 100s of thousands could simply leave.

Unfortunately it looks like there is only one direction of travel though - eventually Russia will be mobilising its population and industrial capabilities to a military first footing and restarting the ability to produce military hardware and the materials for entirely domestically.
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Russia’s russia first party are looking to continue from WW2. Meanwhile russia, china and the OPEC states are wanting a new world order.
 
Russia Is Running Out of Missiles, Ukraine Security Chief Says - Bloomberg
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- Russia Has Firepower For 3, 4 More Missile Barrages
- Russia Is Depleting Missile Reserves
 
SPG said:
As the for defence lines from the main road.... Dont go down the main road.. Parachute people in, small land hop to the North coast.
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Parachuting would be very risky in a contested air enviroment. Amphibious wouldn't be much better. Realisticaly I think all they can do is gradually logistically weaken Crimea until the the position is untenable as they did in Kherson. With a deep water port, it's going to be tough to isolate Crimea. Or fight your way down.
 
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I_M_Weasel said:
Yes, I think it will be a slow seige; Ukraine will want to cut the water off again.
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If they take out the bridge that leaves the water the only accessible way. Ukraine have the missiles to destroy the boats so the Russians rick losing a lot of boats.

They cant do it until last though they need to cut off the land corridor.

Whilst it will be tough by the time they are ready to try Russia will be a lot weaker. and Ukrain will still have the HIMARs
 
bris said:
If they take out the bridge that leaves the water the only accessible way. Ukraine have the missiles to destroy the boats so the Russians rick losing a lot of boats.

They cant do it until last though they need to cut off the land corridor.

Whilst it will be tough by the time they are ready to try Russia will be a lot weaker. and Ukrain will still have the HIMARs
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I was refering to cutting the canal from the Dneipr river rather than removing the russian navy and merchant fleet. The lack of fresh water in crimea has long been an issue and contributed to the start of the war, if it was impotant before it probably still will be.

Ukraine has of course had success against the Russian Navy but I don't think they can blockade Crimea - even if they can get within range of Sevastapol, they could still use the port at Kerch.
 
StriderX said:
Cut off the water, cut off the bridge and blow up every ship Russia sends there.

It will fold eventually.
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Cutting off the water and starving them out seems an unusual strategy to liberate your own conquered territory.

Unless... it IS all just about territory?

Anybody else read the review of the prospects for Crimea in todays Guardian? Including the comments by the US chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff?

Why Crimea is Volodymyr Zelenskiy’s greatest bargaining chip
 
Lord-Jaffa said:
Russian ruble is at a 7 year high, sanctions seem to be working well.
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www.reuters.com

Putin says Russia will fight sanctions with shift in trade and energy flows

President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday that Russia would expand trade cooperation with new partners, including by sharply increasing gas exports to China, to combat Western sanctions.
www.reuters.com www.reuters.com

It's not even at a 7 year high anymore, that was over half a year ago. We're back @ 65 on MOEX, basically 2020 levels
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Turn said:
www.reuters.com

Putin says Russia will fight sanctions with shift in trade and energy flows

President Vladimir Putin said on Thursday that Russia would expand trade cooperation with new partners, including by sharply increasing gas exports to China, to combat Western sanctions.
www.reuters.com www.reuters.com

It's not even at a 7 year high anymore, that was over half a year ago. We're back @ 65 on MOEX, basically 2018-2020 Avg
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By 2025 they will increase the sales of gas to the east by 4x and start a construction of a new pipeline.

The cost of energy will be staggering for Europe by then. How many people will be in financial ruin in the UK by the end of this winter alone.
 
Lord-Jaffa said:
By 2025 they will increase the sales of gas to the east by 4x and start a construction of a new pipeline.

The cost of energy will be staggering for Europe by then. How many people will be in financial ruin in the UK by the end of this winter alone.
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So everyone role over for Vladimir, Ukraine gets absorbed into Russia, genocide of Ukrainians and its culture, Russia gets to control Ukraine grain and energy making for an even worse future when he decides he wants to withhold it or wants more of former territory. Yeah sounds great that future you are painting.
 
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