Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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"The Kh-22 missile is an Anti Ship Missile" - Just to clarify this particular bit I've seen around - The Kh-22 has 3 different guidance sections that can be used, 2 use a radar (active or passive) and are primarily for anti-ship, however, the last is a specific land attack guidance section but it relies on a inertial navigation system (uses mechanical gyros & accelerometers) to know where it and the target are which, without constant adjustments via GLOSNASS (which this missile doesn't have), means that the missile and it's 2000lb warhead are more accurately called "area" weapons with a very large CEP (Circular Error Probability - how far away you miss by) with the UAF say "hundreds of meters in error") rather than calling it a precision weapon. So I would imagine that you'd have to be fairly desperate to use these very inaccurate weapons if you are trying to hit fairly small "command & control nodes", as the Russians claimed to have hit, over using something with a CEP of single figure meters like they were doing at the start, and are still occasionally using when hitting a very small number of power stations quite accurately.

It literally said, the missiles that hit Kyiv weren't able to be detected and intercepted, that suggests use of hypersonic missiles

The Ukrainian MoD said all the missiles were Kh-22's which, whilst fairly close, aren't actually "hypersonics" i.e. Mach 5+ capable. In a FB statement that the UAF gave (linked below) they said that they can see the launch aircraft which, when combined with other intel sources, is how they know what type of missile was used.

The reason they gave for the lack of detection of these missiles is due to its "relatively" small frontal aspect size, combined with its flight profile (lofted to 90,000ft) and the speed (Mach 4.6) of the missile which is almost a ballistic missile flight path hence the UAF asking for more PAC-2/3 Patriots and/or SAMP-T (UK ASTER missile defence) which have a better chance of detecting (much better radar) and hitting (much better interceptor) this type of flight profile missile than any of the ex-Soviet SAMs that Ukraine is currently using.



FB Link to the Ukrainian AF's own post on the attack (auto-translated) - https://www.facebook.com/story.php?...4ddc7VTiYAyTL5BGKowe5PWwjl&id=100064738717463
 
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Russia continues to ramp up its forces in Belarus

What is going on in Belarus is ominous and IMO potentially not just an attempt to keep Ukraine distracted, however by all accounts the ground along both sides of the border is a muddy, swampy mess right now, if it does hard freeze might be another story.
 
It definitely seems like Belarus is gearing up for more than just a staring contest. Ukraine will have had a fair bit of time to prepare for it at least.

I'd be wanting to get better stuff into their hands ASAP here because fighting on multiple fronts is not going to be fun.

Longer range HIMARS missiles would be very effective, especially if they can target more ammo dumps that Russia assumed safe.
 
It definitely seems like Belarus is gearing up for more than just a staring contest. Ukraine will have had a fair bit of time to prepare for it at least.

I'd be wanting to get better stuff into their hands ASAP here because fighting on multiple fronts is not going to be fun.

Longer range HIMARS missiles would be very effective, especially if they can target more ammo dumps that Russia assumed safe.

From what I can find most of the border areas are around 6-8 inches of snow on top of slush, or wet and muddy - very much not good terrain for attacking over.

EDIT: Several possibly sightings of S-300/400 complexes being setup near the Polish border in Belarus which also seems like not the kind of signs you want to see to me.
 
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From what I can find most of the border areas are around 6-8 inches of snow on top of slush, or wet and muddy - very much not good terrain for attacking over.

EDIT: Several possibly sightings of S-300/400 complexes being setup near the Polish border in Belarus which also seems like not the kind of signs you want to see to me.
What was the ground like back in February last year when the invasion started ?
As didn't they come across from Belarusback back then
 
What was the ground like back in February last year when the invasion started ?
As didn't they come across from Belarusback back then

Similar to how it is now - there are videos the pro-Russian lot are sharing about at the moment showing lots of tanks built up (claiming it is a new invasion coming) which are from last February showing weather similar, but not quite as bad, as it is now.
 
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"The Kh-22 missile is an Anti Ship Missile" - Just to clarify this particular bit I've seen around - The Kh-22 has 3 different guidance sections that can be used, 2 use a radar (active or passive) and are primarily for anti-ship, however, the last is a specific land attack guidance section but it relies on a inertial navigation system (uses mechanical gyros & accelerometers) to know where it and the target are which, without constant adjustments via GLOSNASS (which this missile doesn't have), means that the missile and it's 2000lb warhead are more accurately called "area" weapons with a very large CEP (Circular Error Probability - how far away you miss by) with the UAF say "hundreds of meters in error") rather than calling it a precision weapon. So I would imagine that you'd have to be fairly desperate to use these very inaccurate weapons if you are trying to hit fairly small "command & control nodes", as the Russians claimed to have hit, over using something with a CEP of single figure meters like they were doing at the start, and are still occasionally using when hitting a very small number of power stations quite accurately.



The Ukrainian MoD said all the missiles were Kh-22's which, whilst fairly close, aren't actually "hypersonics" i.e. Mach 5+ capable. In a FB statement that the UAF gave (linked below) they said that they can see the launch aircraft which, when combined with other intel sources, is how they know what type of missile was used.

The reason they gave for the lack of detection of these missiles is due to its "relatively" small frontal aspect size, combined with its flight profile (lofted to 90,000ft) and the speed (Mach 4.6) of the missile which is almost a ballistic missile flight path hence the UAF asking for more PAC-2/3 Patriots and/or SAMP-T (UK ASTER missile defence) which have a better chance of detecting (much better radar) and hitting (much better interceptor) this type of flight profile missile than any of the ex-Soviet SAMs that Ukraine is currently using.



FB Link to the Ukrainian AF's own post on the attack (auto-translated) - https://www.facebook.com/story.php?...4ddc7VTiYAyTL5BGKowe5PWwjl&id=100064738717463
It's not the same attack


Earlier in the day, Russia launched a missile strike on Kyiv, damaging some undisclosed infrastructure in the city and a residential building outside the city.

It even says in the UAF FB post in reference to the different attack on the same day
Radíolokacíjnimi means detected the approximate place of launch, altitude, flight speed. There's no doubt that it was the exact X-22 missile - no.
So they detected those missiles with radar you are referencing, the strike on Kyiv went undetected but apparently on the same FB page further down it mentions they were S-300/S-400 missiles in a ballistic trajectory which I guess explain the lack of detection although strange considering they've detected S-300/400 raids in the past

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We're 38,000 years too early for Grim Dark builds
 
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We barely have any tanks, it's more about opening the flood gates for more to come in from other countries.
Also have obligations when it comes to supplying NATO with armored units so what we've spared is probably all we can do, really not much use for tanks on an island but the speed at which tanks have been obliterated in Ukraine is probably causing issues with our pivot to amphibious/naval.
 
Here is the list of those involved in the Dnipro apartment bombing, including pilots that flew the planes and service crew that loaded and programmed them




 
Here is the list of those involved in the Dnipro apartment bombing, including pilots that flew the planes and service crew that loaded and programmed them




I know Russia leaks like a sieve, but this seems too quick to me?

Probably the Kremlin itself leaking it as a means to shift blame down the chain.
 
*Russia Downs 3 Drones Over Sevastopol, Says Air Defence Continues to Repel Attack - Russian-Installed Official
*German Defence Minister Lambrecht Announces Resignation - Statement
 
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The Americans could just give the Ukrainians several pallets of the USAFs new Rapid Dragon weapon.

Basically, it’s a palletised load of ACM-158 JASSM cruise missiles with pre-loaded targets that you just drop out the back of a cargo plane via a drogue parachute. Any cargo plane. Kick the, off the ramp, the pallet opens up, the missiles light up and speed off to go bang somewhere up to 500 miles away.

Someone just Amazon Prime’d precision missile strikes.
 
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