Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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Where do you make that conclusion he was born in Ukraine

His post dosnt seem to say he pro russian one example.


I think he was referring to the source for Igor's posts not Igor. Most of these claims and "evidence" for a build up are coming from a small number of original sources which are likely Russian shills but a lot of OSINT, etc. are carrying them regardless.


One note of caution I'd have in that respect, even when it was under their noses there was a lot of denial in the West as to what was going on and there are a lot of people convinced now that anything in Belarus is an attempt at a distraction to pull forces away from the east and seem unable to break out of that mindset - many will likely still be claiming it is that if it comes to it right up until boots cross the border :s people are strange sometimes.
 
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They are trying to divert AFU resources away from the front lines, without actually doing any other fighting IMO.

They could invade, but not sure how well that would go given the amount of time AFU have had to dig in now.
 
They are trying to divert AFU resources away from the front lines, without actually doing any other fighting IMO.

They could invade, but not sure how well that would go given the amount of time AFU have had to dig in now.

I'd say that was true tail end of last year, this time around, it's possible they're more serious about things.
 
It's a clever move they've done there, they know Ukraine can't attack them in Belarus because it risks giving Belarus an excuse to join in on the aggression
Yeah but what are they going to arm this 700,000 troops with? Sticks and stones? They couldn't properly equipe the last horde of zombies not to mention the lack of tanks and heavy armour.
 
Yeah but what are they going to arm this 700,000 troops with? Sticks and stones? They couldn't properly equipe the last horde of zombies not to mention the lack of tanks and heavy armour.
They have stepped up military production the past 7 months, they could also just decide to use whatever equipment Belarus has, if Belarus doesn't want to join in
 
Yeah but what are they going to arm this 700,000 troops with? Sticks and stones? They couldn't properly equipe the last horde of zombies not to mention the lack of tanks and heavy armour.

That is somewhat a misconception - though there were widespread instances of decrepit old weapons, etc. there was also no shortage of reasonable condition AK variants, PKMs, even SVDs and so on. There is also a weird mix of what is and isn't available equipment wise and logistic issues with ammunition. I assume as this drags on they will be ramping up production of a more cost effective AK-12. The Kalashnikov Group is capable of producing around 150K weapons a year (originally planned global production to ramp up to 300K but I suspect sanctions, etc. has had an impact on that) and has actively been building 10s of thousands of AK variants every year in recent years.

Tanks are going to be an interesting one - they've pulled a few 100 more T-80s and 90s out of storage, an increasing number of export variants being seen but their own estimates are 2-3 years to put another 800 tanks back into service (contrary to the media reports this isn't 800 modernised T-62s but tanks of all varieties including T-62s). They also seem to have a significant quantity of older MT-LBs, older model BTRs, etc. unused - early in the war they shipped around 200 of various 60s era armoured vehicles down to Brest I assume with the intention Belarus would be joining the war with them, then a few months later shipped them back to Bryansk - I've no idea where they went from there but I assume were being used to backfill losses in the east.

One of the bigger issues is you can't really train an effective tank crew in a few weeks.
 
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It is interesting seeing these videos and the range of skill/experience involved and the obvious [at least to me] exasperation from some who obviously have more experience at the quality of communications, organisation and leadership, etc. or people switching off to dangers when they shouldn't or having to be asked to do things they should be doing of their own initiative, etc. couple of the guys obviously have a lot of experience at this stuff.
 
That is somewhat a misconception - though there were widespread instances of decrepit old weapons, etc. there was also no shortage of reasonable condition AK variants, PKMs, even SVDs and so on. There is also a weird mix of what is and isn't available equipment wise and logistic issues with ammunition. I assume as this drags on they will be ramping up production of a more cost effective AK-12. The Kalashnikov Group is capable of producing around 150K weapons a year (originally planned global production to ramp up to 300K but I suspect sanctions, etc. has had an impact on that) and has actively been building 10s of thousands of AK variants every year in recent years.

Tanks are going to be an interesting one - they've pulled a few 100 more T-80s and 90s out of storage, an increasing number of export variants being seen but their own estimates are 2-3 years to put another 800 tanks back into service (contrary to the media reports this isn't 800 modernised T-62s but tanks of all varieties including T-62s). They also seem to have a significant quantity of older MT-LBs, older model BTRs, etc. unused - early in the war they shipped around 200 of various 60s era armoured vehicles down to Brest I assume with the intention Belarus would be joining the war with them, then a few months later shipped them back to Bryansk - I've no idea where they went from there but I assume were being used to backfill losses in the east.

One of the bigger issues is you can't really train an effective tank crew in a few weeks.

Perun`s latest video covers a bit of this, about the quality of equipment in storage also the quality of the `captured` equipment (on both sides). Whilst some are keys in engine running, so change the flag and go, a lot more requires fixing. The T90`s we are seeing i suspect arnt storage versions either. At least 2 were for India.
 
It is interesting seeing these videos and the range of skill/experience involved and the obvious [at least to me] exasperation from some who obviously have more experience at the quality of communications, organisation and leadership, etc. or people switching off to dangers when they shouldn't or having to be asked to do things they should be doing of their own initiative, etc. couple of the guys obviously have a lot of experience at this stuff.

What frequently amazes me, is how often people are only in concealment, not cover, and how often they are standing in the open during engagements.
 
What frequently amazes me, is how often people are only in concealment, not cover, and how often they are standing in the open during engagements.

Some of the guys in these and related videos are obviously very experienced and know when they can get away with it, when pushing is better than digging in, etc. but with such a mix of skills there are huge risks - some instances where they got lucky really and if the situation had been a combat effective BMP, etc. with support they'd have been completely out of position and easy prey to 30mm cannon fire :(
 
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