Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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Yeah seems that way. Either the war ends up in a stalemate after another year or two or if Ukraine ever wins its years away. The idea being that a long war, regardless of the outcome, is better for the West because the longer it goes on for, the weaker Russia will be at the end of it and the West will have more time where they don't have to worry about Russia.

Russia has already lost enough tanks and vehicles that at pre war production levels it will take at least 20 years to replace them and no doubt the US likes that.

The US also gets to push its strategic goals this way. Europe doesn't have the will or volume of weapons needed for Ukraine to beat Russia, so the U.S. is required to chip in and that makes them the playmaker and they get to assert their will which appears to be to make Russia weaker as well as cut European trade with Russia

I think it crazy personally how little we, as in the UK and Europe, are prepared militarily and the industry to back it up. We've seen distinctly when it comes to a country like Russia the best deterrence is strength - like any bully they like to exploit, and are only encouraged by, weakness. A higher level of preparedness is the best possibility for peace in our time and a bulwark against having to resort to our nuclear deterrent(s) - which while the chances of their use is low the more you rely on them alone it does increase the chance of having to use them.

People like to count Russia out after all the losses but while they still have people minded like Putin at the helm they will only grow into this war in the longer run with increasingly more to lose from backing down than pressing on until they are utterly spent. While they might increasingly struggle with production of advanced weaponry they will be able to retool and mobilise around the production of most of their legacy hardware, to at least export configuration, on increasingly larger scale.

While Russia has taken significant losses in many areas they still have substantial capability left - their larger self-propelled artillery platforms for instance they've only lost around 5-10% of their active stock (which is around 20-30% losses of what they've committed to Ukraine) and still have at least as much again as their active stock which can be put back into service from reserves in a short period of time.
 
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https://twitter.com/DefenceHQ/status/1620312860294357000
 
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What do you think NATO is ? By accounts on the Ukraine they would have been at the negotiation table after a month (taking nukes out of the equation)
 
Yeah seems that way. Either the war ends up in a stalemate after another year or two or if Ukraine ever wins its years away. The idea being that a long war, regardless of the outcome, is better for the West because the longer it goes on for, the weaker Russia will be at the end of it and the West will have more time where they don't have to worry about Russia.

Russia has already lost enough tanks and vehicles that at pre war production levels it will take at least 20 years to replace them and no doubt the US likes that.

The US also gets to push its strategic goals this way. Europe doesn't have the will or volume of weapons needed for Ukraine to beat Russia, so the U.S. is required to chip in and that makes them the playmaker and they get to assert their will which appears to be to make Russia weaker as well as cut European trade with Russia
Or could be another outcome if someone will get rid off Putin and start negotiating to end this war.
 
I think it crazy personally how little we, as in the UK and Europe, are prepared militarily and the industry to back it up. We've seen distinctly when it comes to a country like Russia the best deterrence is strength - like any bully they like to exploit, and are only encouraged by, weakness. A higher level of preparedness is the best possibility for peace in our time and a bulwark against having to resort to our nuclear deterrent(s) - which while the chances of their use is low the more you rely on them alone it does increase the chance of having to use them.

People like to count Russia out after all the losses but while they still have people minded like Putin at the helm they will only grow into this war in the longer run with increasingly more to lose from backing down than pressing on until they are utterly spent. While they might increasingly struggle with production of advanced weaponry they will be able to retool and mobilise around the production of most of their legacy hardware, to at least export configuration, on increasingly larger scale.

While Russia has taken significant losses in many areas they still have substantial capability left - their larger self-propelled artillery platforms for instance they've only lost around 5-10% of their active stock (which is around 20-30% losses of what they've committed to Ukraine) and still have at least as much again as their active stock which can be put back into service from reserves in a short period of time.


It's worth also looking at stock type and no just overall volumes, after all a 100 T90's is better than 500 T62's maybe even better than 1000. Russia has lost a significant amount in some of its best stocks as it pushed them in first to try and secure quick victory. It is now having to backfill from storage which takes time - the lack of armour is affecting their ability to mount further large scale offensives for the time being - I remember there was an interview with the guy in charge of maintenance after he was asked to get 1000 T62's combat ready from cold storage and he said it would take 2 years to get them combat ready
 
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Have they banned the 'urup(as Alan Sugar calls it) guy? He used to bring all the facts :D

They are trying to bleed the red army as much as they can. This costing Ukrainian a lot. Also Pootin is trying to prolong it as he expects Donny to be back in the office which is unlikely.
 
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It's going to be months before Ukraine will be able to field them in combat though at best early spring, looking closer to summer at worst depending on how much they fast track the training

Plus the mud season. Is that around until about April time. So really not a massive benefit of being there much before then anyway.

Whilst the tanks may be able to handle the mud, the IFVs and the men and the arty etc will really struggle to operate as effective combined arms.
May as well hold, bleed Russia, and then go full blitzkrieg late spring/early summer.
 
Have they banned the 'urup(as Alan Sugar calls it) guy? He used to bring all the facts :D

They are trying to bleed the red army as much as they can. This costing Ukrainian a lot. Also Pootin is trying to prolong it as he expects Donny to be back in the office which is unlikely.
Putin has met and worked with countless western leaders and I think he's on the whole manged to bluff his relationship making out that himself and Russia are strong but a friend of the west. The only leader I firmly belief he couldn’t predict was Trump who on one hand would glad hand people like Putin and then turn around and impose sanctions on countries like China. Had Trump been in power in 2022 I tend to think Putin would have delayed his planned invasion until the next Democrat president came along simply because Trump was that crazy and unpredictable.
 
Japan PM Kishida: We Agreed With NATO to Increase Cooperation in Cyber Security and Other Areas Such As Misinformation
Japan PM Kishida: We Will Issue a Joint Statement With NATO That Shows That Our Cooperation Has Reached New Level
NATO Chief Stoltenberg:what Is Happening in Europe Today Could Happen in East Asia Tomorrow
NATO Chief Stoltenberg: I Strongly Welcome New Japanese Defence Strategies, Including New Capabilities
NATO Chief Stoltenberg: China Is Not Our Adversary but Must Understand Scale of Challenge and Work Together

Joint Statement:
- We Highlight With Concern Russia’s Growing Military Cooperation With China, Including Through Joint Operations and Drills in the Vicinity of Japan
- We Welcome the Adoption of Japan’s National Security Strategy, Including Fundamental Reinforcement of Its Defence Capabilities
- We Welcome Developments in Japan-NATO Cooperation in Tackling Traditional Security Challenges
- In Addition, We Reaffirm the Importance of Cooperation in Areas Such As Cyberspace, Outer Space, Disinformation
- This New Cooperation Between Japan and NATO Will Effectively Help Address Emerging Threats in New Domains Such As Cutting Edge Science and Supply Chains and Enhance Our Resilience to Hybrid Threats
- Japan and NATO Say to Further Strengthen Cooperation

*Kremlin, Asked About Lithuanian Call for Fighter Planes for Ukraine: Poland and Baltics Extremely Aggressive, a Shame Major European Countries Do Not Counterbalance Them

*Ukraine Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Croatian President’s Remarks Saying Crimea Will Never Return to Ukraine Are ‘Unacceptable’
*Ukrainian Foreign Minister: Ukraine Will Receive 120-140 Tanks in ‘First Wave’ of Western Deliveries

*Ukraine Says It Delivered Strong Protest to Hungarian Ambassador Over “Disparaging” Comments by Hungarian PM Orban
*Ukraine’s Foreign Ministry Urges Hungary to Stop Anti-Ukrainian Rhetoric to Avoid “Irreparable Consequences” for Bilateral Relations

*U.S. Treasury Has No Indication That U.S. Funds Were Misused in Ukraine - Spokesperson
*U.S. Treasury Says Will Continue to Work With World Bank on Tracking U.S. Disbursements to Ukraine
*U.S. Welcomes Ongoing Efforts by Ukrainian Authorities to Put Appropriate Safeguards in Place

*UK PM Sunak’s Spokesperson: It Is Not Practical at the Moment to Send Jets to Ukraine
*UK PM Sunak’s Spokesperson: Britain Will Continue to Discuss Support for Ukraine With Allies

*French Defence Minister: France to Send 150 French Army Staff to Poland to Train 600 Ukranian Soldiers There Every Month
*French Defence Minister: We Will Provide 12 Additional Cesar Artillery Pieces to Ukraine
*French Defence Minister: “There Is No Taboo” When Asked About Fighter Jets for Ukraine
*French Defence Minister: Difficulties Around Maintenance Was One of the Weaknesses of Sending Leclerc Tanks to Ukraine
 
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Interesting video in Reddit showing an artillery strike on a russian artillery battery and loads of IFVs

At least 30 vehicles and arty pieces gone.
 
*U.S. Says Russia Has Violated New START Accord -- WSJ
*Russia Refusal To Allow Inspections Makes It Harder To Verify Warhead Limits, State Department Says -- WSJ
*State Department Finding On Russian 'Noncompliance' Sows Concern Over Future Arms Control -- WSJ
https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-sa...ms-treaty-by-blocking-inspections-11675183584

Cold War part 2, just with a seriously depleted Russia. Sadly for Ukraine it’s in the Wests interests to keep this going for as long as possible.
 
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