Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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Does anyone have any idea to the validity to Peter Zeihans expertise?
I've just watched his interview with Joe Rogan - episode 1921... (Yes I Know... :rolleyes: ). He puts a seriously dire outlook on the side of Russia and China in the future. Yes there are huge caveats. However, he does present some interesting arguments. Interested to know what the general consensus is on his viewpoint, how reliable is his intel, is he a random kook, or reliable source?
 
steve45 said:
Does anyone have any idea to the validity to Peter Zeihans expertise?
I've just watched his interview with Joe Rogan - episode 1921... (Yes I Know... :rolleyes: ). He puts a seriously dire outlook on the side of Russia and China in the future. Yes there are huge caveats. However, he does present some interesting arguments. Interested to know what the general consensus is on his viewpoint, how reliable is his intel, is he a random kook, or reliable source?
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Personally I've seen a few of his appearances and I think he is full of nonsense. Says an awful lot without actually saying anything.
Another one of these self appointed academic experts with little real world experience IMO.
 
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steve45 said:
Does anyone have any idea to the validity to Peter Zeihans expertise?
I've just watched his interview with Joe Rogan - episode 1921... (Yes I Know... :rolleyes: ). He puts a seriously dire outlook on the side of Russia and China in the future. Yes there are huge caveats. However, he does present some interesting arguments. Interested to know what the general consensus is on his viewpoint, how reliable is his intel, is he a random kook, or reliable source?
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Zeihan has an extremely robust combination of professional qualifications and experience. But he is American, libertarian, and somewhat contrarian, which colours his analysis.

I've seen him described as 'accurate in European analysis, biased in American analysis, and clueless in Asian analysis.' His takes and predictions on Ukraine have been pretty solid to date.
 
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Grim5 said:
The latest package does not mention GLSDB, it says "precision guided rockets"

But the press have just clarified with the Pentagon that Yes it is GLSDB

But don't get too excited; it's a contract - Boeing needs to build the rockets first as predicted and secondly HIMARS needs an update to fire these rockets, hopefully an easy software patch

Edit: ETA for first GLSDB arriving in Ukraine is October/November 2023

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It`ll be a lot quicker than end of the year, they have plenty of the rocket motors and SDB in stocks and the mating kit isnt difficult to make either. It was assembly ready 3 years ago

 
Yeah I highly doubt that they'd wait for a substantive number to appear to start shipping them and frankly I would not at all be shocked to find out that Boeing being asked to prepare them months ago whilst pretending it will be months before they're operational to ensure they remain useful for targets that remain inside it's range.
 
Here is your answer to the question. Sankari likes to be a bit of a bot as well which is all good. Hope that helps to form your opinion.
steve45 said:
Does anyone have any idea to the validity to Peter Zeihans expertise?
I've just watched his interview with Joe Rogan - episode 1921... (Yes I Know... :rolleyes: ). He puts a seriously dire outlook on the side of Russia and China in the future. Yes there are huge caveats. However, he does present some interesting arguments. Interested to know what the general consensus is on his viewpoint, how reliable is his intel, is he a random kook, or reliable source?
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Sankari said:
Zeihan has an extremely robust combination of professional qualifications and experience. But he is American, libertarian, and somewhat contrarian, which colours his analysis.

I've seen him described as 'accurate in European analysis, biased in American analysis, and clueless in Asian analysis.' His takes and predictions on Ukraine have been pretty solid to date.
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Sankari, who was Dumbing Bombass for 8 years?
 
Here is a based funny video

It's of various collaborators in Ukraine meeting with Russian handlers over zoom and the Ukranian intelligence agency joins the call to let them know they've charged with treason and will be hunted down

targum.video

9e59390446b868b36ece65b9a92887a9

This video has been AI translated from Russian to English, Русский on February 04, 2023, using targum.video AI translation service.
targum.video targum.video
 
Delivery of the GLSDB by October/November? That is very worrying. As it stands, it appears the promised Tanks wont be arriving any time soon either (at least in any meaningful number). I fear the Wests procrastination could have caused some irrevocable damage here with some very dire consequences. We seriously need to just stop listening to this ******** narrative of fearing escalation. The Russians won't nuke, we all know this, I'm quite frankly sick of all the games by the west, the deliberate tactic of slowly bleeding the Russians to weaken them and the bureaucracy over it all. Give them what they need to win.
 
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Peter75 said:
Delivery of the GLSDB by October/November? That is very worrying. As it stands, it appears the promised Tanks wont be arriving any time soon either (at least in any meaningful number). I fear the Wests procrastination could have caused some irrevocable damage here with some very dire consequences. We seriously need to just stop listening to this ******** narrative of fearing escalation. The Russians won't nuke, we all know this, I'm quite frankly sick of all the games by the west, the deliberate tactic of slowly bleeding the Russians to weaken them and the bureaucracy over it all. Give them what they need to win.
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It's quite likely (highly likely infact) that production has already been spun-up and they will appear in theater much sooner than Oct/Nov. Don't forget that just as much of those announcements are about *misinformation* to keep Russia guessing.

If they start getting hit at 120-150km range in the next couple of months they will naturally have to question whether Ukraine has GLSDB already, or if they have agents inside those regions blowing things up the old fashioned way.
 
Peter75 said:
Delivery of the GLSDB by October/November? That is very worrying. As it stands, it appears the promised Tanks wont be arriving any time soon either (at least in any meaningful number). I fear the Wests procrastination could have caused some irrevocable damage here with some very dire consequences. We seriously need to just stop listening to this ******** narrative of fearing escalation. The Russians won't nuke, we all know this, I'm quite frankly sick of all the games by the west, the deliberate tactic of slowly bleeding the Russians to weaken them and the bureaucracy over it all. Give them what they need to win.
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Been thinking about this as well as the tanks. I'm not sure dates for the arrival would be made public as if it were some Amazon prime tracking number. It would be more advantageous to "let slip" a date far in advance but the reality is they are ready much earlier
 
martynr said:
Sankari, who was Dumbing Bombass for 8 years?
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Ukraine has been attacking Russian forces in Donbass ever since they illegally invaded and annexed the territory in February-March 2014 (for which Russia was suspended from the G8). The Russian invasion numbered at least 30,000 men.

Since invading Crimea, Russian forces have committed numerous war crimes, including the massacre of civilians, torture and rape of women and children, deliberate attacks on civilian infrastructure, and indiscriminate attacks on populated areas.
 
Grim5 said:
If ukraine can manage to push to the coast when they eventually launch their southern offensive to cut off crimea then by the time the GLSDB arrive they'll be able to hit the Kerch bridge

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The kerch bridge should be a priority target again, its so vital to Russia that it has to be cut off.

With that down they only have a small land corridor to use but that can also be cut off. Crimea would be isolated

It sort of neutralises the black see fleet as ships coming near it are vulnerable to those Harpoon missiles which have been used to great success.
 
StriderX said:
Yeah I highly doubt that they'd wait for a substantive number to appear to start shipping them and frankly I would not at all be shocked to find out that Boeing being asked to prepare them months ago whilst pretending it will be months before they're operational to ensure they remain useful for targets that remain inside it's range.
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Weapons makers start ramping up production as soon as a war kicks off, I would expect Boeing to already producing them and can see it happening very soon.
 
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