Winter 2024/25 - Cold or Mild? Rain or Snow?

[arc@css]

No snow my way, and I hope it stays like that.

It's great fun when you're very young, but if outside and driving in it, nowhere near much.

 

[marinersfan]

No snow my way, and I hope it stays like that.

It's great fun when you're very young, but if outside and driving in it, nowhere near much.

I don't mind driving in snow, I'm perfectly capable. It's the other dribblers I unfortunately have to share the road with that worry me.

 

[Rroff]

Wednesday hanging on a knife edge for anywhere south of the M4 corridor - depending on the track of the low it could be very snowy or miserable cold rain, though looks like south coast areas may still get some snow either way.

 

[marinersfan]

Just driven home, the road is badly flooded in places.

 

[Captain]

Been snowing heavily since 4am and doesn’t look like it’s going to stop any time soon.

 

[CaptainRAVE]

Just driven home, the road is badly flooded in places.

The roads are ridiculous here, going to be lovely when they freeze.

 

[Jokester]

I don't mind driving in snow, I'm perfectly capable. It's the other dribblers I unfortunately have to share the road with that worry me.

Made a point of coming into the office for 0730 this morning to avoid all that. Roads plowed and treated but I won’t be surprised to see posts on the local FB page later exclaiming roads are barely passable.

 

[Grandmaster Fap!]

We had a good 2" of snow last night but this morning its all but gone and its 5c, crazy!

 

[Uther]

Flooded and closed roads everywhere here this morning. That was some heavy rain. Luckily it looks like we get a break for the next few days.

 

[Rroff]

Bah looks like the low Wednesday is going more over France so mostly going to be rain here

EDIT: 0Z updates - GFS is doubling-down on significant snow across the south on Wednesday, unfortunately all the other models are taking it into France instead.

 

[moon man]

the local news is still giving out snow warnings here for Wednesday ,thing is if it did happen i love being snowed in but not snowed out i.e having to park the car away from the house when i cant make it home
The sleet and hail and rain has being diabolical so heavy all of us at work ran to the door to see how bad it was (basically an old barn we are in )

 

[Rroff]

the local news is still giving out snow warnings here for Wednesday ,thing is if it did happen i love being snowed in but not snowed out i.e having to park the car away from the house when i cant make it home
The sleet and hail and rain has being diabolical so heavy all of us at work ran to the door to see how bad it was (basically an old barn we are in )

There is still 2 outcomes in play for the south Wednesday:

Most of the models like the Met, etc. are unfortunately on the same tune as the Arpege (right hand image) and the Arpege in my experience is more often than not accurate, the GFS doesn't have a great track record for accuracy.

This is why though there are so many warnings (and same for the previous spell) there are 2 perfectly possible outcomes in play and if the snowy one does come off it will be quite significant.

 

[Rroff]

What a tease - the high ground on the other side of the valley to where I live seems to have had a fair bit of snow overnight, just 1-2mm of slushy stuff on the top of cars, etc. here.

 

[200sols]

Not had significant snow is many years here, i'll believe it when I see it. I do like walking in the snow.

 

[pinkpound]

Had few cm again last night , M62 near Warrington was a nightmare last night

 

[Thekwango]

trying it's best to snow here on the north antrim coast but mainly just cold and rain/sleet. bit of snow on the mountains but nothing to get excited about sadly.

 

[Blackjack Davy]

There is still 2 outcomes in play for the south Wednesday:

Most of the models like the Met, etc. are unfortunately on the same tune as the Arpege (right hand image) and the Arpege in my experience is more often than not accurate, the GFS doesn't have a great track record for accuracy.

This is why though there are so many warnings (and same for the previous spell) there are 2 perfectly possible outcomes in play and if the snowy one does come off it will be quite significant.

The one on the right is the BBC TV weather forecast and they can't quite make up their mind whether its going to be snow or rain, probably just rain and based on experience I agree.

 

[Rroff]

The one on the right is the BBC TV weather forecast and they can't quite make up their mind whether its going to be snow or rain, probably just rain and based on experience I agree.

We've had quite a few of these areas of low pressure lately where they detach from the Atlantic and come at us like they have purpose then as they get close suddenly swerve into northern France as they gradually fade out - probably going to be the same for this one but you never know.

A bit of a nightmare for forecasters as you do have a perfectly good potential for noteworthy wind, rain or snow condition as appropriate, sufficient to warrant warnings but with the more likely scenario of not happening.

EDIT: Latest updates for ICON, Met and some other models are leaning back towards the GFS outcome for Wednesday, the Arpege though still isn't playing ball.

 

[Street]

Had few cm again last night , M62 near Warrington was a nightmare last night

I'm south Liverpool and my garden has been white since Sunday. I travel up the 57 for work and by the time I get to Switch Island, everything is green! Annoyingly, it seems to have snowed every night, just at the perfect time in the early hours when the roads are dead so there's no traffic to clear the snow, ready to cause some rush hour chaos. I've been making the most of it and having an extra hour in bed to wait for it to quieten down.

 

[cheesefest]

Monday shed loads of rain. Flooded in the usual places plus more.