Winter 2024/25 - Cold or Mild? Rain or Snow?

arc@css · 2025-01-06T00:42:39+0000

No snow my way, and I hope it stays like that.

It's great fun when you're very young, but if outside and driving in it, nowhere near much.

marinersfan · 2025-01-06T00:59:11+0000

arc@css said:
No snow my way, and I hope it stays like that.

It's great fun when you're very young, but if outside and driving in it, nowhere near much.

I don't mind driving in snow, I'm perfectly capable. It's the other dribblers I unfortunately have to share the road with that worry me.

Rroff · 2025-01-06T05:09:14+0000

Wednesday hanging on a knife edge for anywhere south of the M4 corridor - depending on the track of the low it could be very snowy or miserable cold rain, though looks like south coast areas may still get some snow either way.

marinersfan · 2025-01-06T06:49:18+0000

Just driven home, the road is badly flooded in places.

Captain · 2025-01-06T07:36:02+0000

Been snowing heavily since 4am and doesn’t look like it’s going to stop any time soon.

CaptainRAVE · 2025-01-06T07:38:06+0000

marinersfan said:
Just driven home, the road is badly flooded in places.

The roads are ridiculous here, going to be lovely when they freeze.

Jokester · 2025-01-06T07:45:13+0000

marinersfan said:
I don't mind driving in snow, I'm perfectly capable. It's the other dribblers I unfortunately have to share the road with that worry me.

Made a point of coming into the office for 0730 this morning to avoid all that. Roads plowed and treated but I won’t be surprised to see posts on the local FB page later exclaiming roads are barely passable.

Grandmaster Fap! · 2025-01-06T09:29:16+0000

We had a good 2" of snow last night but this morning its all but gone and its 5c, crazy!

Uther · 2025-01-06T11:23:58+0000

Flooded and closed roads everywhere here this morning. That was some heavy rain. Luckily it looks like we get a break for the next few days.

Rroff · 2025-01-06T23:50:27+0000

Bah looks like the low Wednesday is going more over France so mostly going to be rain here

EDIT: 0Z updates - GFS is doubling-down on significant snow across the south on Wednesday, unfortunately all the other models are taking it into France instead.

moon man · 2025-01-07T06:03:33+0000

the local news is still giving out snow warnings here for Wednesday ,thing is if it did happen i love being snowed in but not snowed out i.e having to park the car away from the house when i cant make it home
The sleet and hail and rain has being diabolical so heavy all of us at work ran to the door to see how bad it was (basically an old barn we are in )

Rroff · 2025-01-07T06:09:07+0000

moon man said:
the local news is still giving out snow warnings here for Wednesday ,thing is if it did happen i love being snowed in but not snowed out i.e having to park the car away from the house when i cant make it home
The sleet and hail and rain has being diabolical so heavy all of us at work ran to the door to see how bad it was (basically an old barn we are in )

There is still 2 outcomes in play for the south Wednesday:

Most of the models like the Met, etc. are unfortunately on the same tune as the Arpege (right hand image) and the Arpege in my experience is more often than not accurate, the GFS doesn't have a great track record for accuracy.

This is why though there are so many warnings (and same for the previous spell) there are 2 perfectly possible outcomes in play and if the snowy one does come off it will be quite significant.

Rroff · 2025-01-07T08:45:49+0000

What a tease - the high ground on the other side of the valley to where I live seems to have had a fair bit of snow overnight, just 1-2mm of slushy stuff on the top of cars, etc. here.

200sols · 2025-01-07T08:47:27+0000

Not had significant snow is many years here, i'll believe it when I see it. I do like walking in the snow.