Afghanistan - 20 years on

Yep, although i think giving back the country to the Taliban is pretty much a given at this point.

In terms of numbers on the ground, the US/Western allies are severely outnumbered. If the Taliban are threatening consequences, then that would require the US to send in more troops, at which point we're going backwards.

Frankly as much as the Taliban are stupid, it's even more stupid to threaten consequences when all Western allies have agreed to leave the country, just as soon as everyone who wants to be evacuated, is evacuated.

On the edge of Kabul with tons of civilians around that is a nightmare situation as well - you can't just go in heavy without crazy risk of mass collateral casualties.
 
Breaking news suggests that the Taliban are no longer allowing Afghans to go to the airport.

Oh yikes, got a link?

edit - just saw on the telegraph website re: their recent press conference, not good for any eligible Afghans who haven't made it there or who are awaiting processing etc...

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-n...biden-boris-johnson-taliban-press-conference/
The Taliban will not extend the evacuation deadline for Western forces and is no longer allowing Afghan nationals to enter Kabul airport, the group's spokesman said.

In a press conference in Kabul on Tuesday afternoon, Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid said there would be no extension of the August 31 deadline set by the US to withdraw its military from the country.

Mr Mujahid said the US should keep inviting American citizens to board planes, but accused the country of creating a brain drain of Afghan nationals by encouraging educated professionals to leave.

"Don't encourage Afghans to leave," he told the Americans, "We need their talent."
 
It only goes to show what an imbecilic idea it was to withdraw the bulk of the troops first.

I'm sure the Taliban truly care about brain drain when it comes to professional working Afghan women.
 
Civilian personnel should have been evacuated months ago, the Taliban are holding all of the cards now, they can get away with refusing another extension and giving ultimatums because allied forces are surrounded, outnumbered and probably outgunned thanks to all of the weapons that were stupidly left lying around.
 
Apparently it's going to take the US at least two days to evacuate all their military personnel, so there's going to be some fun come next Sunday.

I really don't know what the US thought was going to happen - though they've chucked a fair amount of equipment and money at the Afghan forces they've done very little to set them up for the reality of the situation without the US - irrespective of whether they were prepared to fight or not. How anyone thought it wouldn't be a rapid collapse boggles my mind.
 
People have noticed that in a lot of photos Taliban fighters are showing good trigger discipline, I'm sure that probably wasn't the case prior to us training 300,000 men. The Taliban are stronger now than before we went in.
 
People have noticed that in a lot of photos Taliban fighters are showing good trigger discipline, I'm sure that probably wasn't the case prior to us training 300,000 men. The Taliban are stronger now than before we went in.

Not that it really means anything but it is funny looking at groups of them as there tends to be a range of different styles more typified by different countries/armies i.e. stiff and straight down, more relaxed and/or finger nearer or further from trigger, safety or controls, etc.
 
People have noticed that in a lot of photos Taliban fighters are showing good trigger discipline, I'm sure that probably wasn't the case prior to us training 300,000 men. The Taliban are stronger now than before we went in.

All right on Iran and Russia's doorstep. Neither of them get on with the Taliban. I bet they are secretly as ****** off as we are about the US bailing.
 
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To be fair I don't think the US underestimated the Taliban - what seems to be the case is they were seemingly completely blind-sided by just how quickly the Afghan army would collapse due to whatever reasons resulted in:

-Poor/non-existent transition of the Afghan army to a stand-alone, autonomous, force from being part of and beholden to US interests. (Largely I suspect because of the way the US handled it)
-Linked to above essentially being left "wrong footed" on the ground for the task in front of them.
-Massively less numbers actually existing and willing to fight.
-US pulling support for stuff like maintaining their air-force.
-Many soldiers exhausted, under-supplied and in many cases hadn't been paid in months.
 
People have noticed that in a lot of photos Taliban fighters are showing good trigger discipline, I'm sure that probably wasn't the case prior to us training 300,000 men. The Taliban are stronger now than before we went in.

Training camps for small-arms, map-reading, orientation, explosives training, and other training.

I imagine some of them are clued on well beyond what people might think.
 
Oh yikes, got a link?

edit - just saw on the telegraph website re: their recent press conference, not good for any eligible Afghans who haven't made it there or who are awaiting processing etc...

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-n...biden-boris-johnson-taliban-press-conference/
Well that's fine if the Taliban want to build something even vaguely resembling a modern society, but they're just as likely to shoot them and/or marry off the women to their fighters.
I would absolutely love to be proven wrong.
 
I'd call there bluff.
All there cash is in the US banks, so biden could with hold it.

I'd call thier bluff IF we had the airlift capabilities, the air support and the rest of it if it went pear shaped.

We don't.


It's once again showing how underfunded our forces, as are the rest of the EU's actually are, despite the Russian/Chinese aggressive stances plus Iran etc etc.
 
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