Trading the stockmarket (NO Referrals)

Appreciate you offering a more detailed response!

However, if I'm to read correctly, you have been preparing since last year, meaning you have missed most of the best days in the market over that time? I.e. through trying to time, you have lost out on the later stages of the most recent bull, which was pretty damn significant.

Why do you think, if your assumption was wrong before, that it'll be correct this time? Not being pedantic here, just interested in the bear case.

I did not miss anything, if i had simply invested as before, i'd be sitting on a bigger loss.

I am not timing anything, i just learned enough to realize and adjust, i.e. get rid of US stocks, buy gold, and build up cash

And i am not wrong, quote me after 1 year.
 
I did not miss anything, if i had simply invested as before, i'd be sitting on a bigger loss.

I am not timing anything, i just learned enough to realize and adjust, i.e. get rid of US stocks, buy gold, and build up cash

And i am not wrong, quote me after 1 year.

This, by virtue, is timing. By not being 'in' you are timing your entry. Anyway, I see by your timeline of 1 year that we are on different paths here, so I wish you well.
 
Canadian banks offering silly returns now for money - up to 180bps for 12 months. A lot of their funding from oil and gas companies has dried up as demand has fallen, so they're hugely short on liquidity.
 
There is a possible head and shoulders bottom in on the indices, and we have had a false breakout on pm, there is huge potential upside on pm's as it looks today. Shares I have been in and out of over the last 3 weeks, barc, bp, currently holding psn, lloy, lgen, av, tw, 3*oil, and looking to take profits this week. I have one i'm holding for long term started buying under 1300 which is imb. not as cheap as it was but divi not going to change, hugely cash generative and it's safe imo.

I also have a huge holding in an aim stock in vast circa 3%, just about to get diamond license signed off, has lots of things going for it and should see a quick run back up to at least 0.52p.
 
Inflation writes off the debt is the ongoing strategy, it wouldn't be serviceable under any normal monetary policy. A good reason for prices to rise is when sterling loses value so have to keep track of both, thats been minor just last days.
PM having a more serious issue is of concern, Im not sure if they are being careful or actually under playing how serious it is but I know of someone who has had elevated temperature 16 days which doesnt seem right and no further (serious) symptoms :confused:so its hard to guess

https://twitter.com/JamesGRickards/status/1247344694310379520?cn=ZmxleGlibGVfcmVjc18y&refsrc=email

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inve...rket-were-not-in-the-clear-yet-104234346.html

My general take would be to expect a double peak to virus effects and cases even. Inversely a low now, a reasonable buy take profits then buy on future lows which will be a more normal flat bottom pricing vs extended factors.

2636 SP500 is just a loop, thats not clear direction either way yet. I got some AAZ and others previous which are risk on but I'd expect another chance to buy. Its not going right up because speculators borrow to buy and then sell early as they got no choice to hold it really, how we develop longer term is more boring to consider. Short stocks is long cash just as they introduce a lot more cash supply via loose money. Tons harder to be right short and some of these yields are good to pay imo.
CNA is a total wreck, is it that bad fundamentally, utilities could be the smart compromise
 
No. History would presume otherwise. But then again, who knows.
Thanks. Just to clarify, I mean in the short-term during this pandemic, not no more drops ever. And regarding the "who knows", yup of course it's all just thoughts, opinions and edumacated guesses, hence why we have a nice big thread to discuss it. :)
 
Canadian banks offering silly returns now for money - up to 180bps for 12 months. A lot of their funding from oil and gas companies has dried up as demand has fallen, so they're hugely short on liquidity.

Can you explain what you mean by this? Genuinely interested but have no idea what your talking about lol
 
Slight breather today? Might limit down when USA opens, but I'm a buyer today. Lots of positive noise out of Wuhan, if it is to be believed.
 
WHat do you mean by 'while its flat' ? Sorry if its a silly simple question... Trying to learn.

Sorry, just meant that it's same as price I bought it. So flat meant no profit no loss. Best not to take what I say. I'm no pro! :D
 
So what do you think guys, has the market now fully turned and we will see no more drops?

I can't find the video but while watching yahoo finance yesterday one of the analysts they had on was saying on average 7 times out 10 the market will retest the bottom, when it falls it falls around 80% but he never gave odds on it falling to that 80% vs recovering once tested
 
I don't know if I'm allowed to ask but can anyone PM me a link to Trading212? Fancy trying them out in additional to my current broker and might as well take advantage of their invite a friend offer.
 
What's the catch with the 212 free share ? Looking at the T&C's it says you have log in every 3 months otherwise they take the share back or if you've sold it, they take the money the share is worth back, it doesn't say how long you have to keep logging in every 3 months though ?
 
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