Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar

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*US Secretary Blinken: For Now, US Is Not Seeing Significant Support By China For Russia's Military Actions

*Russia President Putin: Russia Not Refusing to Negotiate With Ukrainians
*Russia President Putin: Talks With Ukraine Continue in Online Format
*Russia President Putin: I Hope Talks With Ukraine Will Yield Positive Result
*Russia President Putin: Situation In Ukraine's Mariupol Is Difficult And Maybe Tragic
*Russia President Putin: Ukraine's Army Should Let Civilians Leave Mariupol

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*Russia’s Gazprom: It Has Not Suspended Gas Supplies To Poland
*Russia’s Gazprom: Poland Has to Pay for Gas on Tuesday in Line With New Payment Schedule
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*Poland's PGNiG: Gazprom Informed It That It Will Halt Gas Supplies As Of 0800CET On Wed
*Poland's PGNiG: Will Not Use Rubles To Pay For Russian Gas
*Poland’s PGNiG: Halt of Supplies by Gazprom Is a Breach Of Contract
*Poland’s PGNiG: Will Take Steps to Reinstate the Flow of Gas According to the Yamal Contract

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*Polish Prime Minister Morawiecki: Poland Is Safe In Terms Of Energy Supplies
*Polish Prime Minister Morawiecki: Got `Threat’ From Gazprom Over Gas Supplies
*Poland’s Climate Minister Moskwa: We Are Ready for Being Completely Cut Off From Russian Hydrocarbons, Oil
*Poland’s Climate Minister Moskwa: Polish Gas Storage Is 76% Full
*Poland’s Minister in Charge of Energy Security Naimski: Supplies to Polish Gas Customers Won’t Be Cut
*Poland’s Minister in Charge of Energy Security Naimski: We Were Planning to End This Contract in Dec, We Will Handle the Russians Decision to End This Early
*Poland’s Minister in Charge of Energy Security Naimski: Gazprom Supplies Can Be Replaced by Flows From Other Directions
*Poland’s Climate Minister Moskwa: We Have No Need Currently to Draw Gas From Reserves
*Poland's Minister in Charge of Energy Security Naimski: We Will Go To The Courts If This Decision By Gazprom Proves To Be A Breach Of Contract
 
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Not directly related to the Ukraine war but had low flying aircraft over my house several times today - few minutes ago pair of Lockheed C-130J Hercules came over at less than 200 feet...
 
I'm getting worried now. Are we actually heading into full on world war 3?

That's basically up to Russia now, if they do something silly like invade Moldova to try and take Odessa then they risk Romanian getting involved, likewise if they strike logistics/facilities in Poland... That could mean a conventional confrontation between NATO and Russia and there are obviously big risks if that escalates.
 
Spoiler: *Trafigura to Cease All Crude Oil Purchases From Russia’s Rosneft Ahead of May 15 Deadline -Spokesperson — RTRS
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*Veto In UN Security Council Now Automatically Triggers General Assembly Meeting
*Russia Tried to Sell a Huge Slug of Oil. Nobody Wanted It. — WSJ
https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/04/1116982
https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-tried-to-sell-a-huge-slug-of-oil-nobody-wanted-it-11650995897


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*Putin Agrees ‘in Principle’ to U.N, ICRC Involvement in Evacuation of Civilians From Azovstal Plant — U.N. Statement
 
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Reaction to the poisonings at least were that friendly relations with russia ceased and a large number of "diplomats" were expelled from the embassy somethiing thats only recently occurred with other european countries, relations with russia have been frosty to hostile ever since, from what I remember we were beating the drum against russia but not many were listening.

More could and should have been done against russian money I'll agree and its not just oligarchs I got a glimpse into it when I used to know someone with a russian wife and the ex pat community had not only wives and spouses but a fair number of what she described as mafiosi, criminal money laundering operations buying up property et al for the investment value even met one of them once, not a pleasant experience
I think that the Russian desk at six was demoted below the mideast one during the last thirty odd years and many of the analysts have retired who would have had direct experience with the soviets. Having said that, I am sure a watching brief on Russia has always happened and hostilities ramped up after Litvinienko and the Salisbury poisonings. Certainly the actions of the UK have been careful to say the least. But it is a good job we swerved on Corbyn in 2019.
 
What is the general feeling of all this within Russia? I know theres Russian propaganda but surely not everyone is that deluded?
Well 2 months ago if I asked you to rank the Russian Army in terms of global combat effectiveness you may well have positioned it near the top. Today you’d probably position it near the bottom. Why would you (and I and everyone else) have ranked it so high?

Befause Putin told us it was good and reinforced that with bull **** such as military parades and regular threats and of course showcasing all his latest tech, we never asked if it works we just assumed!. So if we can be taken in, well that’s how everyone in Russia can too!
 
That's basically up to Russia now, if they do something silly like invade Moldova to try and take Odessa then they risk Romanian getting involved, likewise if they strike logistics/facilities in Poland... That could mean a conventional confrontation between NATO and Russia and there are obviously big risks if that escalates.
Putin is stupid but not crazy.
 
Past 1hr:
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*Head Of IAEA: He Has Agreed With Ukraine To Help Repair Damage To Chornobyl Nuclear Power Plant
*Head Of IAEA: Damage At Chornobyl Power Plant Is Visible, Says We Are Assessing That

*US State Dept: US Closely Monitoring Situation In Transdniestria
*US State Dept: It Reiterates Moldova's Call For Calm In Response To Incidents In Transdniestria
*US State Dept: Loose Talk About Nuclear Weapons Is The Height Of Irresponsibility
*US State Dept: When It Comes To Potential Nuclear Escalation We Are Paying Very Close Attention To What Russia Is Doing And What It Is Not Doing
*US State Dept: Calls Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov's Nuclear Comments Irresponsible
*US State Dept: Deputy Chief Of Mission And Members Of US Embassy Team Traveled To Lviv On Tuesday
*US State Dept: Tuesday's Travel Is First Step In Return Of Diplomats To Ukraine

*Ukraine President Zelenskiy, Asked About Situation in Breakaway Russian-Speaking Enclave in Moldova, Says Russia Is Trying to Destabilise Situation In the Region
*Ukraine President Zelenskiy: Russia Is Trying To Show Moldova What Will Happen To It If The Country Continues To Support Ukraine

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*Putin: Russia Knows Who Planned The Provocation In The Village Of Bucha
 
Past 15mins:
White House Press Briefing:
*White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki: President Biden Was Tested For Covid Monday And He Tested Negative
*White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki: US Objective Is To Reduce Nuclear Weapons Rhetoric
*White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki: Not Expecting a Food Shortage in U.S. Due to Ukraine Invasion
*White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki: US Working to Boost Gas Supply, Options for Europe

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*Bulgarian Energy Ministry: We Have Taken Steps to Secure Alternative Agreements for Gas Supplies
*Bulgarian Energy Ministry: There Is No Need to Restrict Gas Consumption for Now
*Bulgarian Energy Ministry: Proposed New Payment Scheme by Gazprom Breaches Current Contract
 
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*Orsted: It Has Not Been in Dialogue With Gazprom Since It Demanded That Orsted Pays for Gas in Roubles on April 1
*Orsted: It Still Has No Intention of Paying for Gas in Roubles
 
The other issue is the West has a short term view of everything they think of the war as being something won/lost in a matter of weeks because thats how thing are here politicians only think of the upcoming local elections next month, or in a couple of years when there'll probably be a new PM here and a new POTUS over there.

Russians think long term they're in no hurry they can afford to dig in, build up their numbers consolidate, then push forward inch by inch, mile by mile, obliterating everything in their path, Putins not going anywhere anytime soon nor is the political stagnation in the country the only thing against him is his age and reputed poor health he might want to see a "victory" not too far in the future (theres also the issue of logistics and supply) but its a long term aim, Russia has been annexing territory for centuries

I dunno we can have an equally if not larger appreciation of how long a war takes. The west spent twenty years losing to Vietnam, Russia lost to Chechnya in two. The west spent twenty years losing in Afghanistan, Russia lost to Afghanistan in nine :P

Having said that, after their shock defeat to Chechnya Russia spent a few years rearming/improving their military then went back and spent a decade stomping them into submission, hopefully we won't see the same repeated here.
 
*Putin Agrees ‘in Principle’ to U.N, ICRC Involvement in Evacuation of Civilians From Azovstal Plant — U.N. Statement
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*The UN Is Trying To Force The Five Permanent Members To Explain The Use Of The Security Council's Veto
*White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki Speaks - https://youtu.be/-EwJIOVBkI0
*White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki: President Biden Was Tested For Covid Monday And He Tested Negative
*White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki: US Objective Is To Reduce Nuclear Weapons Rhetoric
*White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki: Not Expecting a Food Shortage in U.S. Due to Ukraine Invasion
*White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki: US Working to Boost Gas Supply, Options for Europe
*White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki: Worried Iran Could Develop Nuclear Weapon in Weeks

Goodnight peeps, hopefully you guys enjoyed the coverage today - there was a lot of news :)
 
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