Dunno - Russian doctrine tends to be escalate to de-escalate if they are losing and aside from the opening approach to this war they've stuck to doctrine since. But it seems unlikely on the face of it.
Ukraine Invasion - Please do not post videos showing attacks/similar
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Dunno - Russian doctrine tends to be escalate to de-escalate if they are losing and aside from the opening approach to this war they've stuck to doctrine since. But it seems unlikely on the face of it.
I hear this question often and it doesn't make sense.
Nuclear weapons is a whole other ball game and has no return on you open that box. A tactical nuke cannot win this war, you drop a bomb on a single location that will not stop the war. Using small tactical nukes you'd need to drop them on many targets to make the Ukranians give up.
Secondly, a single nuke can result in radiation reaching NATO countries, a whole bunch of nukes means a whole bunch of radiation. What do you think NATO countries affected will think, they will be out for blood asking for article 5.
So no I don't think they use nukes, because a single small nuke will not make ukraine quit and the number of nukes require to make Ukraine quit will make NATO attack Russia because the fallout from the nukes will spread into Europe and trigger article 5
Twist in that is some closest to Putin have a mentality of getting their way through intimidation, like with the opening approach of the war thinking they could intimidate Ukraine into putting down their weapons. They may think a tactical nuclear weapon(s) could be used for intimidation.
I'm on the fence in this respect, we are into new territory though things keep trying to revert to the established way.
A nuclear power using such weapons on a non nuclear state is an extremely worrying escalation globally. The major nuclear powers have always stuck to the line of these weapons being used for defensive purposes only.
They have to balance the potential global reaction, as if they are prepared to use them as first strike weapons, on non nuclear states, then that is indeed a whole new world status quo. Not one we particularly want to explore.
They have to balance the potential global reaction, as if they are prepared to use them as first strike weapons, on non nuclear states, then that is indeed a whole new world status quo. Not one we particularly want to explore.
Soldato
They have already used as much of their best equipment they can, if they were to use any more it would leave them woefully exposed elsewhere.
An excellent video, from an excellent youtuber
Soldato
Because the next thing would be his new best chum would fire one into South Korea, that would energise the USA enormously as they have the defense agreements there and its right on Chinas doorstep. It would be a nuclear war.
If there are no heavy weapons at the plant then the IAEA should be able to pop in and take a look to ensure it is still operating safely.....oh wait.
Soldato
Not sure if related to Ukraine but that is quite the tanker convoy:
EDIT: Supposedly meeting up with several B-52s.
There is a matching set of tankers up over the US east coast so I'm guessing stuff is transiting across.
Nearest base to me.
I forgot to post but the other day, (monday I think) there was a period where something like 8 planes took off, i have never seen that many take off (well not take off) as they pass by my allotment they are just going gear up.
I ignored the first couple as thats not unusual, by plane 4 I stopped and watched every 2 mins or so as the next took off
Soldato
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Sooner the better. The whole lot of them are complicit, they don’t deserve the privileges of the west, the same countries they seem to dislike so much. Unfortunately my only experience of Russians abroad is incredibly negative. I feel almost as strongly about the Russians who live here and have already escaped Russia, very convenient for them to run and leave Putin to it, it just enables him even more.
Hopefully Ukraine start making significant gains soon.
I totally agree with a tourist visa ban or maybe charge 1000 euros per visa and give that to Ukraine, but I think you have to be careful saying they are all complicit. There are many who've spoken out and paid the price for doing so.
Why the Russian journalist Marina Ovsyannikova sets an example for the West
Ovsyannikova is one of the hundreds of thousands of Russians standing up to Vladimir Putin despite immense personal risk.
www.newstatesman.com
Poles show a large majority of the Russian public has wholeheartedly swallowed all the propaganda so they are in favour of what's happening, but it's not everyone so I feel uncomfortable when I hear it said otherwise.
The Inside Russia YouTube channel is an interesting watch. It's a Russian guy in Russia that does streams talking about the state of things in Russia. He's very careful with his words and doesn't directly criticise Russia or call it a war because if he did, he'd be in jail by now, but you can very clearly read between the lines what his views are and that's the problem, people is Russia have the choice of stay quiet or literally loose everything including their freedom, maybe even their life. I wonder if I was in that situation, what I would do. I'm not sure I'd have the courage to speak out, especially with a family to support.
I'm more disgusted by Russians living abroad that support what's happening, as they have access to a free press. There's a Russian child in my daughter's primary school class that apparently said in class that he loves Putin and the mother has made comments in favour of the war. That, I find outrageous.
Going back to the visa ban subject, all the talk I've seen is about an EU visa ban, so it's not something we're a part of. Germany is getting heavily criticised for not agreeing to it, but from what I can tell, there are no restrictions in the UK on Russians coming here. I know it would be somewhat symbolic since we're further away and there are no direct flights, but I'm surprised there isn't a movement for the UK to have a ban.
Indeed. I hope they can take Kherson back soon as that would be a big blow to Putin and the situation there is starting to sound pretty grim for the civilians.
I definitely support upping the cost of the visas to include aid for Ukraine as that allows us to remain liberal whilst irritating the hell out of Russia in the process, it would also add to the paranoia that anyone still taking these visas could be supporting Ukraine on purpose. A ban on visas for Russians seems like a wasted opportunity to me.
Soldato
Good video. I will say that this was March. They are literally pulling crap out of storage now though. Still watching video though...
I absolutely agree with his analysis btw.
Soldato
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Wouldn't it be convenient for the Russians if the Ukrainians happened to "attack" it while the drones were broadcasting
Soldato
Wonder what on earth they have planned... Let's hope there are enough satellites watching the area and Ukrainian drones out and about to get some hard evidence of Russian involvement in whatever happens.
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