It's the assumptions that skew the numbers - for example with tendancy of russian tanks to self destruct. A colleague of mine who operated russian tanks in the miltary explained to me that there was generally a few seconds of warning before the turret popped off, quite often enabling the crews to get out before the tank went up. I have no idea if this is true but assume there is some truth to it given his experience. And therefore, assuming a lost tank = a lost crew may not be correct.
It would be naive to think boths sides in this conflict are not engaging in propaganda, even if you want to believe one side. It's also possible to support Ukraine and at the same time be critical of some of the things they say.
For sure there will be some cases where some get out. There wont be many though. I mean watch some footage, the majority do only take a couple of seconds for the stored ammo to go critical. A couple of seconds is not enough time to get out of a tank most of the time. There will be some shock and no warning.
They might just about manage to get out of the opening but they are still basically with the tank. Bear in mind these explosions are throwing a couple of tons of metal like 50 meters into the air.
The only ones I have seen make it out are probably ones with basically no ammo left in them where you can see the "tanks" "smoke up" and then people evac quickly. Unfortunately for most I have seen they are then in small arms range of the people that just took out the tank.
That doesn't tend to end well either, as they stumble into the open with small arms (if they are lucky), into the sights of (usually) concealed aggressors who have just ambushed said tank.
I'm sure Ukraine are providing somewhat optimistic numbers, but they do seem to be trying to produce numbers based on reality, and most third party estimates aren't that far removed from the numbers they give (confirmed number are lower, of course, but confirmed are always going to be). Whereas Russia is basically just making numbers up both for their losses and the number of Ukrainians they've killed or injured in battle.
Yes. That was my point, the confirmed will always be lower. Quite often considerably lower Its one of the horrible unfortunate things that many are just lost. No remains but they do not reappear later. Died in a ditch, basically removed from existence (such as inside self destructing tanks) etc
Horrible but reality.
I don't think there is vastly overstated reporting. The numbers per day aren't that high (they are high in regards lives lost which is always a bad thing). I think people forget the scale here repeatedly. There is fighting on hundreds of miles of front.
My suspicion would be that Ukraine are into the 5 digits of losses as well unfortunately.
I am fairly sure I saw something a couple of weeks ago that mentioned 9k, although I think that included people taken out of combat with life changing injuries.
We are 9 months in now, thats quite some time.
Lets not forget the Russians don't value life, they would probably accept 10:1 or even more of their people dying to gain ground.
They lost estimated at 6.75 million from combat roles in WW2, a somewhat different situation yes, but they clearly don't care about people, just land.
Assuming a 5 year period that was an average loss of 3700 military, every single day.
So can I see an average of around 300 a day in Ukraine, yes absolutely. We have seen some dumb, borderline idiotic missions undertaken.