Soldato
IMO the only advantage of Belarus as a staging post, WAS, how close it is to Kyiv.
That advantage is pretty much gone now.
Ukraine have fortififed that border which is actually a reasonable natural defence anyway. They now also have limited Western weapons that can make those highways truly deadly to pass.
Almost certainly have zerod in arty and mined to hell.
Wagner are going to be interesting to observe (as much as we can) they are Mercs, they expect to be paid. As well as the Russian state a lot of income was coming from Africa. Who precisely is going to maintain that part seems unknown.
The makeup of the Wagner forces as well, I mean the convicts for example would they sign up with the rest of the Russian forces, maybe if it was that or jail.
If they can go to Belarus to see their time out, or what all seems unknown.
I struggle to see Wagner in Belarus being more than 5-10k of troops max.
I think the Ukraine / Belarus border is going to end up as a militarised one. Just the same as Poland have done / are doing.
That advantage is pretty much gone now.
Ukraine have fortififed that border which is actually a reasonable natural defence anyway. They now also have limited Western weapons that can make those highways truly deadly to pass.
Almost certainly have zerod in arty and mined to hell.
Wagner are going to be interesting to observe (as much as we can) they are Mercs, they expect to be paid. As well as the Russian state a lot of income was coming from Africa. Who precisely is going to maintain that part seems unknown.
The makeup of the Wagner forces as well, I mean the convicts for example would they sign up with the rest of the Russian forces, maybe if it was that or jail.
If they can go to Belarus to see their time out, or what all seems unknown.
I struggle to see Wagner in Belarus being more than 5-10k of troops max.
I think the Ukraine / Belarus border is going to end up as a militarised one. Just the same as Poland have done / are doing.