Man of Honour
- Joined
- 29 Nov 2008
- Posts
- 13,320
- Location
- London
So let's be generous and say there are 2 usage spikes between 06:00 and 08:00 in the morning and 16:00 and 18:00 in the evening, that 56 trains and approx 62,000 passengers, doesn't sound great for £100bn investment!
Currently it cost approx £140 for a ticket from London to Crewe, how much is it going to cost on the new line, less, can't see that! Who exactly is going to be shelling out £200 a day to commute from London/North or visa-versa, it really just BONKERS!
As posted above, you need to include the number or extra services that will be able to run on the existing infrastructure thanks to HS2 releasing capacity. Those lines will also be easier to close and upgrade so even more services can run.
We have all been here before....
1860-Lets build a huge Ship that can carry 4500 passengers and steam from England to Australia and back without having to refuel. because it will be a brilliant and innovative advance in transport and everybody will want to use it and we will make pots of money..
(No, They didn't)
1960-Lets build a (Technically brilliant, absolutely no criticism there at all) really fast civil airliner so people can travel around the world at twice the speed of sound because it will be a brilliant and innovative advance in transport and everybody will want to use it and we will make pots of money..
(No, They didn't)
2060-(well near enough really) Lets build a (Technically brilliant, absolutely no criticism there at all) really fast railway between London and Birmingham because it will be a brilliant and innovative advance in transport and everybody will want to use it and we will make pots of money..
(No, They won't, and even if they did, the number of regular daily season ticket holders for the route will be unlikely to top 100,000 people even if they were all standing, so the numbers who would benefit from this represent only a tiny fraction of 1% of the UK population to the likely detriment of tens of millions of others)
2060 is almost 30 years away from when trains are expected to be running on the line. It'll almost certainly be late, but it's highly unlikely to run into some of the problems that have plagued other rail projects like Crossrail.
That's also an unfair comparison, there's nothing technically innovative about HS2. It's a conventional high speed rail line, using existing materials, and will use a signalling system that's been widely tested and is already implemented around Europe. The main benefits (and the whole reason it's being built) will not be for passengers who use the line itself.