Winter 2024/25 - Cold or Mild? Rain or Snow?

pastymuncher said:
Cold here today, only 7 degrees C with a light NW breeze giving a windchill of 6 degrees C. Lots of rain yesterday and overnight but down to showers now although when it rains it really chucks it down sometimes with hailstones for good measure.
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We had a dry day after 9am, got the patio pointed. Looks like a one or two degree frost overnight and staying cold tomorrow. Heating may be coming on soon.
 
That sun has quite a kick today

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Greenland blocking/high pressure) is bringing cooler weather to Western and Northern Europe (see Figure 6). In contrast low pressure troughing in the Gulf of Alaska is persisting the mild pattern across much of Canada and the US (see Figure 6). But the polar vortex has been unusually weak for so early in the season (see Figure iv). This is a real wild card and could certainly bring colder weather in October but will it have any long lasting impact is an open question.
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Wet and windy here on the Mersey , on another note can tell what time of the year it is we have been inundated with giant house spiders this weekend 8 of them like tarantulas :eek:
 
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The heated throw is doing ok for me at the moment plus I have the dehumidifier on but I live alone no point in heating rooms I am not in, especially as they are still 18c.
6.5 c on the way to work, looks like a damn fine day coming, weird how everyone parks down the other end looking over industrial units , weeds blocking my sea view though

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Longer range models keep flipping between a front loaded winter and a later cold blast into the early part of March :s
 
Looks like hurricane Kirk may pass up the English Channel on current forecast, though tonight's preliminary model output shows it possibly coming up the South West with significant winds across south Wales, but likely only moderate by the time it hits the UK though a small chance it will be more significant.

EDIT: UK Met which more often than not is correct shows it being quite tame. Also looks like it will be fairly fast moving so unlikely to have severe winds sitting over one spot for any length of time.
 
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Rroff said:
Looks like hurricane Kirk may pass up the English Channel on current forecast, though tonight's preliminary model output shows it possibly coming up the South West with significant winds across south Wales, but likely only moderate by the time it hits the UK though a small chance it will be more significant.

EDIT: UK Met which more often than not is correct shows it being quite tame. Also looks like it will be fairly fast moving so unlikely to have severe winds sitting over one spot for any length of time.
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When is it supposed to hit?

Is there any cold weather in the near future yet? Although I suppose we've only just got into October.
 
sprite1275 said:
When is it supposed to hit?

Is there any cold weather in the near future yet? Although I suppose we've only just got into October.
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9th to the 11th but still far too many variables as to how it will affect us.

Not notable cold weather yet but 10-13th probably a bit chillier than we've had but for the most part looks similar to what we've had the last couple of weeks over the rest of the month.
 
So far looking like Kirk will be pretty tame by the time it reaches us and mostly pass through northern France with maybe a glancing blow to coastal south east England, though still the possibility for something more significant depending on what happens with existing areas of low pressure near/over the UK.

 
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I find that the older I get, the less tolerant I am of winter.

I think it's the fact that those long, dreary, dark, wet miserable days seem like an eternity.

I used to be able to mahage this by saying to myself, hey ho, soon be March and it will start to get a bit warmer.

Except these days, we don't even seem to get a spring. This year, with the exception of a few days, it felt like winter ended sometime around June and we went straight into autumn.

A proper cold winter, on the other hand, with snow and crisp, frosty days, I actually quite like but seems like there ain't one of those in the offing this year. How sad.
 
Latest updates show hurricane Kirk pushed away from us a bit by the area of low pressure (I assume) and heading into France.

Still not a sure thing yet though, could still come at us.
 
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