Yes, however Chelsea said all the EXACT SAME THINGS, 6-7 years ago..... how much of a massive profit are they turning right now?
How far do you think your commercial/match day income will really grow. You think it will grow 50% year on year, forever? Or will it get to a point then stay fairly static. How are you going to raise your match day income, of just shy of £20mil, to match Utd/Arsenal's 100mil matchday income? The stadium isn't going to increase in capacity by over double by next year, not for 4 years at least if they started construction basically tomorrow.
Likewise you seem to be wilfully ignoring how FFP works..... AVERAGE over 3 years.
You don't have to turn £1 profit one year to remain viable, you need to become profitable AND make up for the losses made to average a small loss.
The Etihad deal is dodgy, everyone on earth knows it, however its not AS bad as it could have been, its averaging only £35mil a year, rather than a 3-4 year deal for £400mil which would be radically different. You made 195mil losses, champs league income is WELL under 50mil, winning the league from your current position is a small increase in earnings, match day income(without massive ticket price rising) isn't feasable beyond a few percent a year. Wages WILL increase yearly, 195mil loss needs to become, around 80mil profit for two years after to average a loss that would remain in the fair play rules.
SO do some maths, 195mil + 30mil a year(you already had sponsorship) + probably minimum 15mil, max 30mil from champions league a year............ Your revenue was circa £150mil, your wages were £175mil, BOTH will grow next year, ignore transfer fee's with amortization costs reducing, revenue is BELOW wages, short of asking everyone to resign lower value deals....... this is what screwed Chelsea, they wanted to resign everyone to longer term, lower priced deals and bring in new players on less money....... but they found people knew what their "new" value was to a club like Chelsea and wages have gone up not down. Chelsea are as screwed as City in having a very small stadium with a very small match day income from executive style facilities.
Your only proof that you won't break FFP rules, is someone said so. All the actual really really basic maths says no god damned way. I'll point out again, Chelsea's people said every single last thing City's have, revenue has gone through the roof, massive growth, long term plan, whoopdedoo, we're set, youth players will keep us fed for life now, we won't be spending big anymore, we'll be turning a profit in a few years, woo woo.
You know what screwed them, tiny stadium, a limit to how far revenue can actual grow and massive massive wages a tiny stadium can't support. Please explain where City will manage to continue to have 80million less in match day revenue a year than Utd/Arsenal, yet spend what will probably be in a year or two, almost double in wages over Arsenal.
I've asked many times before with this same discussion before, where will City make up the 80mil difference to Utd on match day revenue...... while ALSO spend 10's of millions more on wages.
Again I'll just point out the numbers, 150mil revenue, 174mil wages, 195mil losses........ exclude all transfer fee's, assume they go away, add on 50mil to revenue for sponsorship + champs league........ at CURRENT wage prices that would have them at a VERY slim profit.......... now over 3 years they'll be somewhere in the region of 200mil losses one year, and in theory, with no transfer fee's to deal with, 20mil profit for another two years. Now average that, now tell me where that will be close to breaking even. Now realise you've got another 3 years with HEAVY transfer fee's to still be accounted for, and 5 more years for a couple of signings, now add in wage increases..........
There isn't a chance in hell of them making it, unless they get another sponsorship deal, maybe Etihad will sign off on having a second sponsor on the shirt, for another £400mil decade long deal.