Winter 2017/2018 - Thread

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There's a much easier solution to all this. Go look at the Express weather articles.

They're anticipating it will be cold and snowy, ergo you know it will be normal/mild and rainy/dry. :p
 
Looks like it's going to be the one week of the year where it's warmer up here than daarn saarf! (warmer in a relative, not absolute, sense)
 
The model output looks crazy this evening. Potentially serious cold and snow from the weekend

Noticed that beyond 3 days the models seem to be downgrading confidence in the output i.e. even more uncertainty as to what is going to happen. On the various weather forums a lot of poster have swung around to talking about an Armageddon like cold snap LOL think they are getting a bit ahead of themselves.
 
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/43122036
 
I hope some of the outliers from this morning's runs don't happen:

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Not something we've seen in this country in awhile.
 
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26Feb-2March baiscally guaranteed in the freezer now, and remains cold after that.

Hopefully we get a good dumping of snow everywhere !
 
Yup things starting to firm up for much more severe cold than we've had it lately and that sudden break down is being pushed away. Snowfall remains a bit of a wildcard though as many setups show it being dry in some cases very dry while there are chances of it picking up a lot of moisture as it comes in over the sea.
 
Going to be gutting to see a "hard winter" return after a few days of sun recently and double digit temps here in Southampton, I was out in shorts and sleeveless jacket earlier. :(
 
Yeah the sun is pretty warm today though there is a background chill - shame I don't have an excuse to go out and some stuff I need to do inside :( though I might go outside in a bit to paint a 3D model I've been working on.

EDIT: Hope the GEM is wrong - latest update is bringing in increasing patches where temperatures in various parts of the country, predominationly the South East but some parts of the West and North West would drop to around -14C and some odd cases of as low as -17C.
 
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Continuing with the cold theme and pushing away the return to milder.

And a little teaser - way out of the range of any confidence - but those temperatures...

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Yeah looking generally dry at the moment - still a lot of uncertainty as the exact path in though some of which could bring significant moisture with it.
 
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There will definitely be snow. The air is so cold that there will be convection when it crosses the much milder sea. Computer models won't pick this up until really late
 
Cant remember when it snowed in March or potential to snow in March BBC weather saying snow for the 5th and 6th of March where I live I hope not I got to drive to work early morning on the 6th.

Still many day lefts so the potential for the forcecast to change is very possible going by what happened so far and in the past.
 
Cant remember when it snowed in March or potential to snow in March BBC weather saying snow for the 5th and 6th of March where I live I hope not I got to drive to work early morning on the 6th.

Still many day lefts so the potential for the forcecast to change is very possible going by what happened so far and in the past.
2013 we had very heavy snow in March. I nearly got stuck on the M25 on my way to work In Leatherhead
 
Cant remember when it snowed in March or potential to snow in March BBC weather saying snow for the 5th and 6th of March where I live I hope not I got to drive to work early morning on the 6th.

Still many day lefts so the potential for the forcecast to change is very possible going by what happened so far and in the past.
feb/march have the highest chance of snow I think.
 
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