WINTER 2018/2019 - Chat thread!

Rimsy · 5 Jan 2019 at 09:00

V_R said:
I need last years summer again now.

Given current reservoir levels across the country that's a really really silly thing to wish for.

Rroff · 16 Jan 2019 at 20:44

Still no real model agreement for the potential cold weather over the next few days - hope I'm wrong but with potential disruption of the jet stream little more of a tease in the short term and hints of something a bit further off and general setup it is looking like any real wintery weather is going to be pushed well into Feb if it materialises.

robfosters · 16 Jan 2019 at 20:48

Hasn't even felt like winter yet.

Jokester · 17 Jan 2019 at 06:51

1” snow here, will be enough to cause chaos later as a lot of the roads haven’t been treated.

Dave · 17 Jan 2019 at 07:10

Jokester said:
1” snow here, will be enough to cause chaos later as a lot of the roads haven’t been treated.

Sir Grits-a-Lot was out on the roads out here this morning, but still planning to leave a little late to avoid the inevitable chaos!

Ayahuasca · 17 Jan 2019 at 09:29

Fairly heavy snow coming down at the minute here.

V_R · 17 Jan 2019 at 10:03

It snowed for a whole 5 minutes down here! Was far to wet to lay though.

Rroff · 17 Jan 2019 at 10:06

V_R said:
Was far to wet to lay though.

Probably going to be the story for a lot of people - the indicators for snow are quite high precipitation wise through the next 10 days but the temperatures are projected as marginal.

XeNoN89 · 17 Jan 2019 at 11:23

Models today going for significant snow cover across the whole country and into the negative double figures temperature. Lets see what actually happens!

Snow cover:

Temperature:

Rroff · 17 Jan 2019 at 11:27

Problem is that far off anything can happen :s

V_R · 17 Jan 2019 at 11:34

That s for the end of the month, yes?

gord · 17 Jan 2019 at 11:41

V_R said:
That s for the end of the month, yes?

Looks like it, you're talking 14 days away. Like Rroff said, can't trust the 3 day forecast sometimes, let alone 14.

V_R · 17 Jan 2019 at 11:42

That's exactly my thinking too!

XeNoN89 · 17 Jan 2019 at 11:47

Yep, hence the 'let's see what actually happens'

Would be interesting if it was correct!

Neil79 · 18 Jan 2019 at 12:16

Sustained cold temperatures

Cold and snowy weather is expected to dominate the rest of January with Arctic air masses influencing the British Isles. From Tuesday, very cold air is forecast to extend across the country, with heavy snow showers giving significant accumulations and disruption in some areas. By later next week, a bitter easterly wind is likely, maintaining cold weather for many days ahead.

https://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/reports/week-ahead.htm

Neil79 · 18 Jan 2019 at 12:17

PREMIUM CONTENT: John Hammond’s Month Ahead – Winter may be about to freeze over

https://weathertrending.com/2019/01/18/john-hammond-month-ahead-winter-freeze-over/

Neil79 · 18 Jan 2019 at 12:17

Next week

Cold
Risk of snow
Frosty nights
Icy patches

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/46913592

Neil79 · 18 Jan 2019 at 12:58

UK Outlook for Saturday 2 Feb 2019 to Saturday 16 Feb 2019:

The cold weather will continue as we head through the first half of February. There is a greater risk of seeing snow at lower levels as well as on the hills. Some drier and brighter periods are possible in the northwest, but in the south there is a chance of weather fronts approaching which bring a risk of rain, sleet and perhaps significant snow at times.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast

Gypo · 18 Jan 2019 at 16:32

UKMO upgrade on the 12z following the path of ECM/GFS.

This would put not just the East into the freezer but large swathes of the UK.

t+120

UK profile - http://prntscr.com/m8zd70

Some of the charts for 7-8 days out are phenomenal, and the continued theme going into February is excellent.

Rroff · 18 Jan 2019 at 16:34

Gypo said:
Some of the charts for 7-8 days out are phenomenal, and the continued theme going into February is excellent.

I think if we are going to see anything memorable from this it will be into Feb - too much through late Dec/Jan the meat has been hovering at the end of the output and never getting any closer.